SS Arezzo vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
23.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
PES
2 - 1
ARZ
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 1
COM
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
FIO
1 - 1
ARZ
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
CAS
1 - 0
ARZ
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
ARZ
0 - 0
EMP
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
CAG
1 - 0
PIS
37%
28%
34%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
CAG
0 - 0
SIE
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
AVE
1 - 1
CAG
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 1
CAG
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
CAG
2 - 2
TOR
24%
29%
47%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |