SS Arezzo vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
32.6%
Draw
0-0
16.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.6%
25.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASS
44%
33%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
PES
2 - 0
ARZ
56%
27%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
ARZ
0 - 0
BOL
45%
32%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
ARZ
54%
28%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
ARZ
51%
30%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAR
53%
28%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAG
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 0
GEN
43%
31%
26%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
PES
2 - 0
CAG
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 0
PIS
42%
31%
27%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |