SS Arezzo vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
TER
1 - 0
ARZ
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2006 |
ARZ
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
TOR
1 - 2
ARZ
58%
25%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
ARZ
2 - 0
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
CRO
1 - 0
ARZ
46%
26%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
BOL
3 - 1
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BRE
4 - 0
AVE
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
RIM
0 - 0
BRE
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
BRE
2 - 0
CAT
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
BRE
3 - 4
ACM
16%
26%
59%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |