SS Arezzo vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
32%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32%
25.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
MES
1 - 0
ARZ
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
ARZ
2 - 2
MOD
54%
28%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
CAM
1 - 0
ARZ
41%
33%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
ARZ
2 - 0
GEN
42%
32%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
BAR
2 - 1
ARZ
54%
28%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
55%
28%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
VIC
2 - 2
BOL
49%
30%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
TRI
1 - 0
BOL
53%
29%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
BOL
1 - 0
LAZ
53%
29%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1987 |
ROM
2 - 2
BOL
87%
10%
4%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |