SS Arezzo vs Atl. Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
FIA
0 - 2
ARZ
56%
26%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PAL
33%
31%
36%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
NOC
1 - 1
ARZ
45%
28%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CRO
27%
27%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
LOD
1 - 3
ARZ
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
VIT
3 - 0
CAT
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 1
ANC
15%
23%
62%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 0
CAT
67%
21%
12%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
CAT
3 - 1
NOC
29%
27%
45%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 1999 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAT
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | +1 |