SS Arezzo vs Terranuova Traiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
2º
1º
35
6º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 3
ARZ
24%
26%
50%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 1
GAV
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ORV
0 - 4
ARZ
13%
17%
70%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ASL
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 1
ARZ
58%
21%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Terranuova Traiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ATT
0 - 2
PRO
75%
14%
10%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MPO
3 - 1
ATT
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ATT
2 - 0
MON
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SCA
1 - 1
ATT
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |