SS Arezzo vs Lornano Badesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 2
ARZ
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PIA
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 1
PRO
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
USP
4 - 0
ARZ
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 2
SDT
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lornano Badesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
4 - 2
FOL
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
BAR
32%
22%
46%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
GAV
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 2
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
RIE
65%
19%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |