SS Arezzo vs ASD Cascina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
7.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
GAV
4 - 1
ARZ
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ARZ
3 - 2
FOL
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
RIE
1 - 3
ARZ
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ARZ
0 - 0
MON
67%
19%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UNV
1 - 3
ARZ
11%
17%
72%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Cascina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
CAN
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ACS
0 - 2
ASD
53%
23%
25%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 0
SCA
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 2
ASD
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 2
PIA
20%
23%
57%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +1 |