SS Arezzo vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ASS
2 - 2
ARZ
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ARZ
0 - 0
PAD
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
TRI
3 - 2
ARZ
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
ARZ
0 - 1
LIV
34%
26%
39%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ARZ
3 - 1
PIS
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ALV
2 - 1
VAR
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 1
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 2
TRE
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
LIV
1 - 0
VAR
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |