SS Arezzo vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 1
ARZ
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ABN
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
ARZ
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 2
MOD
41%
29%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
PIS
2 - 1
ARZ
59%
26%
15%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 0
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
REG
1 - 1
VAR
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 1
ALV
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
LIV
1 - 1
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 2
CES
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |