SS Arezzo vs Alzano Virescit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
COM
2 - 0
ARZ
44%
29%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
LIV
5 - 3
ARZ
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
ARZ
4 - 1
USA
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
ARZ
37%
28%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 0
PIS
33%
29%
38%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 1
ALV
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 0
SPA
38%
28%
35%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 0
ALV
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 1
CES
24%
27%
49%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |