SS Arezzo vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 0
ARZ
62%
24%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ARZ
0 - 0
BAR
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2006 |
ARZ
2 - 1
RIM
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 0
ARZ
52%
27%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ARZ
1 - 1
TRI
53%
25%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
CES
4 - 1
FCC
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
PES
3 - 2
CES
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
CES
2 - 4
MOD
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
BRE
3 - 2
CES
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CES
2 - 2
ABN
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |