SS Arezzo vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ASC
1 - 0
ARZ
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
FCC
0 - 1
ARZ
33%
25%
41%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ARZ
3 - 0
FCC
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 1
ARZ
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 3
ACL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
LIV
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PAD
3 - 0
CES
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
CES
3 - 0
NOV
61%
21%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
CES
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CES
1 - 0
REG
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |