SS Arezzo vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
26%
32.7%
Draw
0-0
17.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
32.7%
23.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ARZ
65%
23%
13%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
PES
2 - 2
ARZ
60%
25%
15%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CAT
48%
31%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
TRI
2 - 1
ARZ
58%
26%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
REG
1 - 0
ARZ
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
CES
2 - 1
PES
58%
26%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
CAT
2 - 4
CES
51%
30%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
FCC
2 - 1
CES
51%
31%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
CES
1 - 0
ASC
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
ANC
1 - 2
CES
64%
20%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |