UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-4
AC Allianssi vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Allianssi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
PRG
2 - 0
ALL
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
HAK
5 - 0
ALL
51%
24%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
ALL
0 - 0
AKR
77%
15%
9%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2003 |
KUO
0 - 0
ALL
15%
24%
61%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
AKR
0 - 1
ALL
32%
25%
44%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
PRG
2 - 0
ALL
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
INT
2 - 2
PRG
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
PRG
0 - 2
UDI
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 2
PRG
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
PRG
0 - 0
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |