Aglianese vs Seravezza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
GHI
1 - 1
ACA
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 0
ALC
64%
19%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
RIM
5 - 1
ACA
34%
27%
39%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -3 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FAN
1 - 1
ACA
39%
26%
36%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ACA
0 - 2
RAV
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Seravezza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
ALC
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
COR
2 - 0
SER
45%
24%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SER
2 - 3
FAN
38%
24%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
GAV
3 - 1
SER
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
USR
1 - 1
SER
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |