Aglianese vs Ravenna FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
6º
16º
12º
72
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 45 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
94% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
94% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 2
ACA
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 0
COR
23%
25%
52%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +3 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
USP
1 - 1
ACA
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FAN
2 - 2
ACA
53%
23%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 1
SAN
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ravenna FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VSM
2 - 1
RAV
14%
21%
66%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RAV
2 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CLO
1 - 0
RAV
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 0
RAV
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RAV
3 - 0
COR
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |