Aglianese vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
GHI
1 - 4
ACA
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ACA
2 - 2
MAS
46%
23%
32%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SCA
3 - 0
ACA
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 3
BAS
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
PIA
4 - 0
ACA
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
GAV
1 - 0
BAS
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ACS
0 - 2
GAV
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GAV
0 - 0
USR
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
GAV
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
GAV
1 - 1
ACP
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |