Aglianese vs Borgo San Donnino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
USR
3 - 0
ACA
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 0
SAM
52%
24%
25%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
ACA
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 1
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 2
ACA
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Borgo San Donnino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BSD
1 - 1
ALC
32%
23%
45%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
BSD
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BSD
0 - 1
FAN
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
USR
2 - 0
BSD
57%
22%
22%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BSD
1 - 1
MEZ
25%
24%
52%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |