Aglianese vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
PIA
4 - 0
ACA
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
USR
0 - 0
ACA
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ACA
2 - 1
SDT
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ACP
0 - 0
ACA
66%
18%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 1
ACS
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 0
SDT
13%
21%
66%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ACS
3 - 1
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 3
USR
11%
17%
72%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 2
BAS
75%
17%
9%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 2
ACP
12%
21%
67%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +1 |