Aglianese vs Alcione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
RIM
5 - 1
ACA
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FAN
1 - 1
ACA
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ACA
0 - 2
RAV
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MEZ
0 - 1
ACA
19%
24%
57%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 1
COR
61%
22%
16%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 1
RAV
19%
20%
60%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
ALC
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 1
FAN
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
USR
1 - 1
ALC
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
ALC
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |