Abuli vs Samepo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abuli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
SKO
2 - 1
ABU
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
ABU
1 - 4
MAR
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 0
ABU
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ABU
0 - 0
TEL
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
ABU
2 - 1
ADU
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Samepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 9
TSK
17%
20%
64%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
IVE
8 - 0
SAM
86%
9%
5%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 8
ACH
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 0
SAM
25%
22%
53%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
MET
5 - 3
SAM
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |