Abuli vs Porvardi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abuli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DUR
5 - 0
ABU
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
BOR
8 - 0
ABU
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAS
4 - 8
ABU
12%
18%
70%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
ABU
3 - 1
ACH
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
ABU
1 - 0
SOK
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Porvardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
FPT
3 - 1
SAS
76%
15%
10%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FPT
4 - 6
RUS
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
FPT
3 - 4
IVE
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
IVE
3 - 1
FPT
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
FPT
0 - 4
ADU
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |