Abuli vs Iverioni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abuli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
ABU
4 - 0
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
ABU
2 - 1
RUS
40%
24%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
FGT
0 - 3
ABU
19%
20%
61%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
ABU
4 - 1
IVE
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
IVE
7 - 2
ABU
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Iverioni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
IVE
65%
19%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
IVE
3 - 5
MAR
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
ABU
4 - 1
IVE
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
IVE
2 - 3
RUS
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
FGT
0 - 3
IVE
29%
22%
48%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |