Abuli vs Duruji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abuli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
ADU
5 - 2
ABU
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ABU
1 - 1
ALA
13%
19%
69%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
ACH
1 - 0
ABU
74%
15%
10%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
ABU
2 - 0
PAR
70%
16%
14%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
IBE
1 - 2
ABU
35%
21%
44%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Duruji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DUR
2 - 1
IBE
72%
15%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
6 - 1
DUR
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
DUR
2 - 0
HER
63%
18%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
MET
0 - 3
DUR
49%
20%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DUR
6 - 0
TSK
25%
22%
54%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +3 |