Abo Qir Semad vs El Mansura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
16º
5º
41
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 48 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
82.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abo Qir Semad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ELH
0 - 0
ABO
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
ABO
2 - 0
PRO
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
ABO
2 - 0
PFC
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
4 - 1
ABO
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
ZAR
2 - 4
ABO
17%
24%
60%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
El Mansura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ELM
2 - 0
PFC
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 1
ELM
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
ELM
0 - 0
ASC
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
KAF
1 - 2
ELM
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 1
ELM
84%
12%
4%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |