Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
8º
12º
11º
62
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 3
BAL
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
NEW
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
BAL
25%
22%
53%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
ABE
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
ABE
75%
16%
8%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
TNS
4 - 1
ARB
83%
11%
6%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TNS
7 - 0
TRE
94%
4%
2%
|
68 | 21 | 47 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
TNS
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
TNS
6 - 1
COL
85%
10%
5%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TNS
2 - 0
BAL
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |