Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
56%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
PRE
2 - 2
ABE
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
ABE
4 - 2
LID
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AIR
5 - 1
ABE
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
ABE
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 2
LLA
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TNS
0 - 1
NEW
83%
12%
6%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CON
1 - 3
TNS
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
PRE
0 - 2
TNS
29%
25%
47%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
TNS
5 - 0
POR
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TNS
3 - 0
BAN
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |