Aberystwyth Town vs Port Talbot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 0
BAN
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAN
7 - 1
ABE
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
BAL
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
ABE
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ABE
3 - 2
NEW
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
NEW
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
POR
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
LLA
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |