Aberystwyth Town vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
ABE
5 - 3
AIR
63%
20%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 1
ABE
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
TNS
4 - 0
ABE
84%
11%
5%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ABE
1 - 0
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
CAE
0 - 3
ABE
68%
19%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAR
22%
22%
55%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ABE
1 - 0
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CEF
2 - 3
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 0
CAE
20%
22%
59%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |