Aberystwyth Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 0
ABE
62%
21%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
ABE
0 - 1
BAR
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
ABE
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ABE
2 - 1
RTW
79%
13%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 3
CEF
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 0
ABE
62%
21%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 2
NEW
25%
24%
50%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 1
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
CON
3 - 1
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -2 |