Aberystwyth Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
LID
0 - 0
ABE
38%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ABE
2 - 5
RHY
46%
22%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 0
ABE
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ABE
3 - 0
CON
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
POR
2 - 4
ABE
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
PRE
2 - 5
NEW
62%
20%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 2
LID
58%
21%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 0
CEF
66%
19%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 1
NEW
67%
19%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
LLA
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |