Aberystwyth Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
ABE
2 - 0
AIR
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
LID
0 - 2
ABE
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
LID
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 2
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LID
1 - 6
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
TNS
17%
22%
62%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
AIR
3 - 1
NEW
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |