Aberystwyth Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
AIR
5 - 3
ABE
51%
24%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 2
BAL
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
HAV
0 - 0
ABE
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
ABE
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
48%
23%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 4
HAV
48%
24%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 2
TNS
13%
22%
66%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 3
AIR
38%
26%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |