League Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Aberystwyth Town vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
ABE
2 - 2
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
LLA
2 - 3
ABE
70%
18%
13%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TNS
5 - 0
ABE
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
ABE
3 - 0
HAV
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ABE
2 - 1
BAL
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LLA
1 - 1
AIR
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
LLA
2 - 3
ABE
70%
18%
13%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 0
LLA
20%
23%
58%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
LLA
39%
24%
37%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
LLA
1 - 4
NEA
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |