Aberystwyth Town vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 3
BAL
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 0
ABE
57%
23%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 3
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
3 - 1
AIR
45%
25%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 0
LLA
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HOL
2 - 3
CAE
22%
21%
57%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
HOL
6 - 0
LLA
76%
14%
10%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 0
HOL
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
HOL
2 - 0
MOL
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BUC
1 - 5
HOL
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |