Aberystwyth Town vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
7 - 1
LID
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
ABE
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
ABE
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
4 - 0
PRE
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 1
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
HOL
2 - 1
POR
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
HOL
3 - 2
NEW
27%
22%
51%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LLA
1 - 3
HOL
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HOL
3 - 0
PEN
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 2
CAE
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | -1 |