Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
5º
4º
43
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 12 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 4
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 0
COL
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
HAV
25%
26%
50%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 2
ABE
69%
19%
11%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 3
BAL
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
HAV
25%
26%
50%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 1
TNS
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 1
HAV
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |