Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
6º
4º
44
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
38 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
44 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 7
ABE
25%
22%
53%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ABE
3 - 3
PON
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FLI
5 - 0
ABE
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 1
CAE
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 3
PEN
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
HAV
29%
25%
47%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HAV
3 - 1
FLI
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 0
HAV
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 1
CON
25%
28%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TNS
3 - 1
HAV
76%
15%
10%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |