Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
ABE
5 - 0
CEF
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
ABE
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 3
ABE
64%
20%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 4
NEW
26%
24%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 1
CON
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 2
PEN
21%
25%
54%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 1
HAV
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
HAV
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
HAV
0 - 0
BAL
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FLI
4 - 1
HAV
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |