Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 2
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 1
ABE
21%
24%
56%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ABE
4 - 0
BAN
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
TNS
1 - 1
ABE
68%
18%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 0
ABE
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 1
ABE
21%
24%
56%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 1
AIR
23%
26%
52%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 2
AIR
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
HAV
1 - 1
RHY
26%
25%
50%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 0
HAV
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |