Aberystwyth Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
ABE
5 - 3
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
PRE
0 - 1
ABE
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 2
ABE
61%
20%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 0
ABE
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
CEF
2 - 0
CON
30%
27%
44%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
TNS
3 - 1
CON
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CON
6 - 1
BAN
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CON
3 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +2 |