Aberystwyth Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
RHY
0 - 1
ABE
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
ABE
0 - 1
BAL
44%
23%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
ABE
3 - 3
BAN
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 1
TNS
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 5
ABE
37%
25%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
CON
1 - 5
TNS
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
CEF
3 - 2
CON
51%
23%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
CAR
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
PRE
3 - 2
CON
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
CON
0 - 2
RHY
44%
23%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |