Aberystwyth Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
POR
2 - 4
ABE
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 2
ABE
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 4
TNS
19%
25%
56%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
PRE
2 - 2
ABE
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
NEW
55%
21%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 6
CON
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
POR
6 - 1
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
CON
1 - 3
AIR
38%
23%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
CON
2 - 6
BAN
21%
22%
58%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |