Aberystwyth Town vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
ABE
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ABE
0 - 3
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
CON
2 - 4
ABE
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 0
RHY
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 5
ABE
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
ABE
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
AIR
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 2
CAR
46%
24%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
UND
2 - 4
CAR
10%
16%
75%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | +1 |