Aberystwyth Town vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 0
LID
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
LLA
68%
18%
13%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LID
2 - 0
ABE
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
ABE
33%
25%
41%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
ABE
4 - 1
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
AFC
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
POR
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
ABE
33%
25%
41%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +3 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
ABE
4 - 1
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
TNS
10%
21%
69%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |