Aberystwyth Town vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 2
LLA
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 1
TNS
15%
24%
61%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 6
ABE
15%
20%
66%
|
47 | 7 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 1
LID
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PRE
1 - 0
ABE
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
TNS
10%
21%
69%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 1
CAR
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
BRI
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 5
LID
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BAN
4 - 0
CAR
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |