Aberystwyth Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
11º
10º
41
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 2
ABE
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
LLA
84%
11%
5%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
MER
89%
8%
3%
|
55 | 19 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
ABE
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
CON
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
39%
24%
37%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
CAR
7%
18%
75%
|
64 | 18 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 0
CAR
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |