Aberystwyth Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 1
ABE
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 4
ABE
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 1
LLA
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 3
CAR
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
LLA
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
CEF
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 3
CAR
29%
23%
48%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAM
68%
19%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |