Aberystwyth Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
47.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 6
CON
20%
25%
55%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 1
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 2
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 2
CEF
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAM
68%
19%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 3
CAR
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAR
39%
28%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |